NASCAR In-Season Challenge returns with million-dollar stakes
It is that time of year again, and frankly, I cannot believe it is back. The NASCAR In-Season Challenge has returned for its second edition, bringing a five-race, $1 million knockout tournament right into the heart of the summer. While we all remember the wild scenes from the inaugural event—including the miracle run of Ty Dillon—it is probably wise to temper expectations for another deep run from a 32-seed this time around.
The math favors the usual suspects, with Denny Hamlin and Tyler Reddick sitting at the top of the board as the heavy favorites. My forecast model puts them at a 61% chance to both reach the Round of 16, though they are on a collision course that could see them only meet in the final. Ryan Blaney and Kyle Larson are lurking right behind them, with Blaney looking particularly dangerous at Chicagoland. It is a fascinating dynamic to watch these title contenders audition for the big trophy while fighting for this cash prize.
Looking for the bracket-busters? Keep your eyes on the so-called sleepers like Chase Elliott and defending champ Ty Gibbs. Meanwhile, the lower seeds are not just there to make up the numbers. Zane Smith is perhaps the ultimate Cinderella story here, carrying an 8% chance to reach the semifinals. And then there is Joey Logano; despite a difficult season, he remains a dangerous spoiler as an 18-seed. Whether it stays chalk or descends into total chaos, the next few weeks are going to be absolutely wild.
